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Monday, December 29, 2025

“Getting to Denmark”

the AZEL

PERSPECTIVE

Commentary on Cuba's Future, U.S. Foreign Policy & Individual Freedoms - Issue 441B
 
José Azel's latest books "On Freedom" and "Sobre La Libertad" are now available on Amazon. 

“Getting to Denmark” (Previously published)

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This is not a travel advice column. In development economics, “Getting to Denmark” is a term used to describe the problem of creating effective political, economic, and social institutions in developing countries. The expression flows from the work of social scientists Lant Pritchett and Michael Woolcock who question: How did Denmark get to be Denmark? That is, how can a developing country become democratic, prosperous, inclusive, stable, peaceful, law-abiding, well governed, and relatively free of corruption?

How can Haiti, Afghanistan, Cuba, Somalia, and many others be transformed into Denmark-like polities? Some answers, explored by Francis Fukuyama in “The Origins of Political Order,” begin with the premise that poor countries are not poor because they lack resources; they are poor because they lack effective political institutions. 

Just as importantly, the presence in a country of some democratic institutions reveals very little about how well or badly those institutions function. Often, developing countries fall into a condition where their governing institutions are neither fully authoritarian nor meaningfully democratic. 

Institutions shape human interactions. Institutions define the rules of the game in a society and limit our freedom of choice. As such, we are naturally inclined to reject institutions unless we are convinced that they will serve to improve our wellbeing. In developing countries, where political institutions are not inclusive and prone to corruption, the wellbeing case is unconvincing for most of the population. 

From the perspective of institutional development, the most intractable problem is that, whereas the end of authoritarian rule may happen quickly, effective democratic institutions develop slowly over time. That is, transitions to democratic governance will not be immediately successful. Regime change cannot be successful without a long, costly, and difficult process of institution building. This is a lesson not often understood by policymakers. 

Getting to Denmark requires much more than a majority of votes in an election. It requires a complex set of institutions that Condoleezza Rice aptly describes as the scaffolding of democracy. A liberal democracy requires balance between executive, legislative, and judicial forces; between centralized and regional authorities and their respective responsibilities; between civilian and military powers; between individual and collective rights; and between the state and society. No wonder democracies are always flawed at their inception. Denmark is a long way off if the starting point is Haiti, Somalia, or Cuba.

The good news is that institutional development is not hermetically sealed in historical determinism. Societies are not permanently trapped by their historical past. Yet, societies are not free to simply remake themselves any given day disregarding their history. The problem of “Getting to Denmark” is, above all, a problem of finding a way to make inclusive institutions work. 


One problem noted by social scientists is that of traditionalist societies that are fiercely resistant to any challenges to the dominant ideas of the society; ideas which are often invested with great political or religious passion. Often these states have highly centralized authorities and unorganized social actors outside the state apparatus, e.g., Iran, North Korea, Cuba. 

Another challenge is present in societies characterized by some form of charismatic authority. The term originates from the Greek word charisma or “touched by God.” This etymology points to the enormous challenge of transferring authority from a leader “touched by God” to impersonal institutions. 


In these societies there is usually a dramatic incoherence between the existing institutions of the country and the needs of the society. Getting to Denmark requires a mental transition from a creed that the ruler is sovereign to a conviction that the rule of law is sovereign. 

As individuals we construct models of reality. Once adopted, our mental models of reality are hard to change even when we are confronted with evidence that our models are not producing the desired results. This helps explain the acquiescent attitudes observed in countries were communism took hold. In Cuba, for example, if economic development was to take place miraculously under the present repressive regime, such economic gains would not destabilize the political system nor put much pressure on it to democratize. 

For Cubans, without the scaffolding of democracy, the only way of getting to Denmark is to travel there. 

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Abrazos,

Lily & José

(click on the name to email Lily or Jose)
José Azel, Ph.D.

José Azel left Cuba in 1961 as a 13 year-old political exile in what has been dubbed Operation Pedro Pan - the largest unaccompanied child refugee movement in the history of the Western Hemisphere.  

He is currently dedicated to the in-depth analyses of Cuba's economic, social and political state, with a keen interest in post-Castro-Cuba strategies. Dr. Azel was a Senior Scholar at the Institute for Cuban and Cuban-American Studies (ICCAS) at the University of Miami, Jose Azel has published extensively on Cuba related topics.

In 2012 and 2015, Dr. Azel testified in the U.S. Congress on U.S.-Cuba Policy, and U.S. National Security.  He is a frequent speaker and commentator on these and related topics on local, national and international media.  He holds undergraduate and masters degrees in business administration and a Ph.D. in International Affairs from the University of Miami.

José along with his wife Lily are avid skiers and adventure travelers.  In recent years they have climbed Grand Teton in Wyoming, trekked Mt. Kilimanjaro in Tanzania and Machu Pichu in Peru.  They have also hiked in Tibet and in the Himalayas to Mt. Everest Base Camp.

They cycled St. James Way (
El Camino de Santiago de Compostela) and cycled alongside the Danube from Germany to Hungary and throughout southern France.  They have scuba dived in the Bay Islands off the Honduran coast and in the Galapagos Islands. Most recently, they rafted for 17 days 220 miles in the Grand Canyon. 

Their adventurers are normally dedicated to raise funds for causes that are dear to them. 

Watch Joe & Lily summit Kilimanjaro.

Books by Dr. José Azel
José Azel’s writings are touched with the wisdom of a master, and the charm of an excellent communicator. Anyone who wishes to understand why countries do, or do not, progress will find in this book the best explanations. And, from these readings emerge numerous inferences: How and why do the good intentions of leftist collectivism lead countries to hell? Why is liberty not a sub product of prosperity, but rather one of its causes?

If it was in my power, this work would be required reading for all college and university students, and I would also recommend its reading to all politicians, journalists, and policymakers. With his writings Azel accomplishes what was achieved in France by Frédéric Bastiat, and in the United States by Henry Hazlitt: Azel brings together common sense with intelligent observation, and academic substance. Stupendous,

Carlos Alberto Montaner
                                                                   BUY NOW
Los escritos de José Azel están tocados por la sabiduría de un maestro y la amenidad de un excelente comunicador. Cualquiera que desee entender por qué los países progresan, o no, encontrará en este libro las mejores explicaciones. De estas lecturas surgen numerosas inferencias: ¿Cómo y por qué las buenas intenciones del colectivismo de izquierda llevan a los países al infierno? ¿Por qué la libertad no es un subproducto de la prosperidad, sino una de sus causas?

Si estuviera en mis manos, esta obra sería de obligada lectura de todos los estudiantes universitarios, pero además, le recomendaría su lectura a todos los políticos, periodistas y policy makers. Con sus escritos Azel logra lo que Frédéric Bastiat consiguiera en Francia y Henry Hazlitt en Estados Unidos: aunar el sentido común, la observación inteligente y la enjundia académica. Estupendo.

Carlos Alberto Montaner
                                                           Compre Aqui
"Liberty for beginners is much more than what the title promises. It is eighty themes touched with the wisdom of a master, and the charm of an excellent communicator. Anyone that wishes to understand why countries do, or do not progress, will find in this book the best explanations. Stupendous"

Carlos Alberto Montaner

"Libertad para novatos es mucho más de lo que promete el título. Son ochenta temas tocados con la sabiduría de un maestro y la amenidad de un excelente comunicador. Cualquier adulto que desee saber por qué progresan o se estancan los pueblos aquí encontrará las mejores explicaciones. Estupendo."

Carlos Alberto Montaner

Compre Aqui

In Reflections on FreedomJosé Azel brings together a collection of his columns published in prestigious newspapers.  Each article reveals his heartfelt and personal awareness of the importance of freedom in our lives.  They are his reflections after nearly sixty years of living and learning as a Cuban outside Cuba. In what has become his stylistic trademark, Professor Azel brilliantly introduces complex topics in brief journalistic articles.
En Reflexiones sobre la libertad José Azel reúne una colección de sus columnas publicadas en prestigiosos periódicos. Cada artículo revela su percepción sincera y personal de la importancia de la libertad en nuestras vidas. Son sus reflexiones después de casi sesenta años viviendo y aprendiendo como cubano fuera de Cuba.  En lo que ha resultado ser característica distintiva de sus artículos, el Profesor Azel introduce con brillantez complejos temas en  breves artículos de carácter periodístico.
Mañana in Cuba is a comprehensive analysis of contemporary Cuba with an incisive perspective of the Cuban frame of mind and its relevancy for Cuba's future.
Pedazos y Vacíos is a collection of poems written in by Dr. Azel in his youth. Poems are in Spanish.
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