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Monday, September 30, 2024

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The Conundrum of Political Ignorance

the AZEL

PERSPECTIVE

Commentary on Cuba's Future, U.S. Foreign Policy & Individual Freedoms - Issue 376 B
 
José Azel's latest books "On Freedom" and "Sobre La Libertad" are now available on Amazon. 

The Conundrum of Political Ignorance (Previously published)

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In his book Democracy and Political Ignorance, law Professor Ilya Somin develops the thesis that political ignorance is a serious problem for democracy. Born in the USSR, Professor Somin has a keen appreciation for the merits of democratic governance but argues that democracy works better when government is smaller and limited and there is less government for the voters to oversee. This column follows Professor Somin’s arguments. 

The essence of democratic governance is the accountability of elected officials to the voters. And, even if as individual voters we do not care about holding public officials accountable; we have a responsibility to do so for the benefit of our fellow citizens since elected officials govern over everyone in our society. In this sense, our voting decisions exercise “power over others” as John Stuart Mill taught in his Considerations on Representative Government (1861). 

Mills feared political ignorance so much that he proposed giving extra votes to the more knowledgeable voters. Similarly, Plato contended that democracy is a defective form of government because it formulates policies based on the views of the ignorant masses. And James Madison argued for an indirectly elected senate “as a defense to the people against their own temporary errors and delusions” (Federalist 63). 

As individual voters we have little incentive to learn about politics because there is only a very small chance that our vote will actually affect an electoral outcome. Thus, it is rational for most citizens to invest little effort to acquire political knowledge given the insignificance of any one vote to electoral outcomes. As Professor Somin notes, “Political ignorance is...a rational individual behavior that leads to potentially dangerous collective outcomes.” 

Our political knowledge has barely increased over the years notwithstanding increases in education and in the quantity and quality of information available to voters. For example, a 2014 Annenberg Public Policy Center study found that only 36 percent of Americans could name the three branches of government. This was a decrease in political knowledge from the 

42 percent that could not name the branches of government in an earlier 2006 survey. Professor Somin documents numerous other examples of our political ignorance. 

Political ignorance is not due to not having access to the relevant information. It is mostly a case of voters rationally choosing not to invest the necessary time and effort to learn and understand political issues. Political ignorance is rational because, as individual voters, we have virtually no chance of influencing the outcome of an election. In the case of a U.S. presidential election our chances are less than one in one hundred million. From this perspective, it is not worth the trouble to devote great time and effort to acquire political information. 

Thus, Professor Somin asserts that the problem of political ignorance is unlikely to be solved by proposals to improve civic education, enhance media coverage of politics, and the like. It seems our political ignorance is here to stay. He concludes that political ignorance is best addressed, not by seeking to increase political knowledge, but by seeking to reduce the consequences of our political ignorance. 

There are several theories of political participation, and I have discussed two of them, Retrospective voting, and Deliberative voting in my column, Why do we vote as we do? Each theory requires different levels of political knowledge from the voters. But the fundamental question remains: How much political knowledge do voters need for democracy to work? 

One explanation of voter behavior, the Burkean Trusteeship model, named after eighteen- century political theorist Edmund Burke, requires little of voters. According to Burke, voters should choose based on a candidate’s knowledge and virtue. Focusing on a candidate’s virtue is best since most voters lack the knowledge to evaluate complex public policy options. 

However, the connection between the virtues of opposing candidates and their skills and governing abilities is unclear. Just as interestingly is this related question that I must leave for another time: What happens to democracy when it is the voters that have flawed values? 

Please let us know if you Like Issue 376 B - The Conundrum of Political Ignorance on Facebook this article.
We welcome your feedback.
Abrazos,
 
Lily & José
 
(click on the name to email Lily or Jose)
José Azel, Ph.D.

José Azel left Cuba in 1961 as a 13 year-old political exile in what has been dubbed Operation Pedro Pan - the largest unaccompanied child refugee movement in the history of the Western Hemisphere.  

He is currently dedicated to the in-depth analyses of Cuba's economic, social and political state, with a keen interest in post-Castro-Cuba strategies. Dr. Azel was a Senior Scholar at the Institute for Cuban and Cuban-American Studies (ICCAS) at the University of Miami, Jose Azel has published extensively on Cuba related topics.

In 2012 and 2015, Dr. Azel testified in the U.S. Congress on U.S.-Cuba Policy, and U.S. National Security.  He is a frequent speaker and commentator on these and related topics on local, national and international media.  He holds undergraduate and masters degrees in business administration and a Ph.D. in International Affairs from the University of Miami.

José along with his wife Lily are avid skiers and adventure travelers.  In recent years they have climbed Grand Teton in Wyoming, trekked Mt. Kilimanjaro in Tanzania and Machu Pichu in Peru.  They have also hiked in Tibet and in the Himalayas to Mt. Everest Base Camp.

They cycled St. James Way (
El Camino de Santiago de Compostela) and cycled alongside the Danube from Germany to Hungary and throughout southern France.  They have scuba dived in the Bay Islands off the Honduran coast and in the Galapagos Islands. Most recently, they rafted for 17 days 220 miles in the Grand Canyon. 

Their adventurers are normally dedicated to raise funds for causes that are dear to them. 

Watch Joe & Lily summit Kilimanjaro.

Books by Dr. José Azel
José Azel’s writings are touched with the wisdom of a master, and the charm of an excellent communicator. Anyone who wishes to understand why countries do, or do not, progress will find in this book the best explanations. And, from these readings emerge numerous inferences: How and why do the good intentions of leftist collectivism lead countries to hell? Why is liberty not a sub product of prosperity, but rather one of its causes?

If it was in my power, this work would be required reading for all college and university students, and I would also recommend its reading to all politicians, journalists, and policymakers. With his writings Azel accomplishes what was achieved in France by Frédéric Bastiat, and in the United States by Henry Hazlitt: Azel brings together common sense with intelligent observation, and academic substance. Stupendous,

Carlos Alberto Montaner
                                                                   BUY NOW
Los escritos de José Azel están tocados por la sabiduría de un maestro y la amenidad de un excelente comunicador. Cualquiera que desee entender por qué los países progresan, o no, encontrará en este libro las mejores explicaciones. De estas lecturas surgen numerosas inferencias: ¿Cómo y por qué las buenas intenciones del colectivismo de izquierda llevan a los países al infierno? ¿Por qué la libertad no es un subproducto de la prosperidad, sino una de sus causas?

Si estuviera en mis manos, esta obra sería de obligada lectura de todos los estudiantes universitarios, pero además, le recomendaría su lectura a todos los políticos, periodistas y policy makers. Con sus escritos Azel logra lo que Frédéric Bastiat consiguiera en Francia y Henry Hazlitt en Estados Unidos: aunar el sentido común, la observación inteligente y la enjundia académica. Estupendo.

Carlos Alberto Montaner
                                                           Compre Aqui
"Liberty for beginners is much more than what the title promises. It is eighty themes touched with the wisdom of a master, and the charm of an excellent communicator. Anyone that wishes to understand why countries do, or do not progress, will find in this book the best explanations. Stupendous"

Carlos Alberto Montaner

"Libertad para novatos es mucho más de lo que promete el título. Son ochenta temas tocados con la sabiduría de un maestro y la amenidad de un excelente comunicador. Cualquier adulto que desee saber por qué progresan o se estancan los pueblos aquí encontrará las mejores explicaciones. Estupendo."

Carlos Alberto Montaner

Compre Aqui

In Reflections on FreedomJosé Azel brings together a collection of his columns published in prestigious newspapers.  Each article reveals his heartfelt and personal awareness of the importance of freedom in our lives.  They are his reflections after nearly sixty years of living and learning as a Cuban outside Cuba. In what has become his stylistic trademark, Professor Azel brilliantly introduces complex topics in brief journalistic articles.
En Reflexiones sobre la libertad José Azel reúne una colección de sus columnas publicadas en prestigiosos periódicos. Cada artículo revela su percepción sincera y personal de la importancia de la libertad en nuestras vidas. Son sus reflexiones después de casi sesenta años viviendo y aprendiendo como cubano fuera de Cuba.  En lo que ha resultado ser característica distintiva de sus artículos, el Profesor Azel introduce con brillantez complejos temas en  breves artículos de carácter periodístico.
Mañana in Cuba is a comprehensive analysis of contemporary Cuba with an incisive perspective of the Cuban frame of mind and its relevancy for Cuba's future.
Pedazos y Vacíos is a collection of poems written in by Dr. Azel in his youth. Poems are in Spanish.
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Voice of the Copts

Voice of the Copts, a nonprofit organization, fights the spread of Islamic supremacy and Sharia throughout the Western world through education, advocacy and action. By drawing attention to the suffering of Coptic Christians in Egypt, it endeavors to educate the Western world as to the chilling effect of Sharia (Islamic law). Founded in 2007 by Dr. Ashraf Ramelah, Voice of the Copts focuses on three key issues: freedom of religion, cultural identity and women’s rights.


The anniversary of Nasser’s death: Fifty-four years later, Egyptians still pay for his disastrous policies. 

 Dr. Ashraf Ramelah

Since the beginning of time, the mineral-rich sediment of the Nile River flooded the agricultural lands of Upper Egypt each year. Settling on the land for 40 days, the rich silt saturated the soil before pouring into the Mediterranean to provide food for sea creatures. My grandfather’s stone farmhouse stood inside the massive temporary lake. My father, as a young boy, would leap from the balcony of his childhood home into the deep, muddy waters blanketing their fields – just for fun. Before the rains pummeled the Ethiopian mountains, causing seasonal flooding, the finest cotton known to the world was harvested, leaving behind depleted soil just in time for the flood to replenish it with new layers of topsoil carried by the river mud.   

Nasser pursued the High Dam project to conserve water from Ethiopia and build a gigantic hydro-electric power plant. The US government refused to finance it. The International Monetary Fund shunned the project for technical reasons, but Nasser pursued it with a vengeance. The Soviet Union agreed to build it. Present-day Egyptians call it the Nasser Dam but not to glorify him. 

The negative impact of this project is known far and wide. Not only did the dam put a ligature on the flow of tons of mineral-rich river sediment increasing soil salinity and reducing to a trickle the silt into the sea, but the stagnant waters of Lake Nasser formed by the dam (300 miles long into Sudan) spread diseases such as malaria and schistosomiasis. In proximity of the new dam, Egyptian Nubians had been forced by the government to abandon their homes, and fertile farmlands were lost forever to the project. Environmental changes adversely affected local plants, wildlife and the fishing industry. 

Around the dam’s 20-year anniversary in 1983, Fodor’s Egypt of Fodor’s Travel Guides wrote of the High Dam, “It has also brought a batch of new problems—many are technical and agricultural ones to which there are no immediate answers.” Water seepage, salt residue, and erosion, “are already creating problems at an alarming rate.” Fodor’s goes on to state that “from the start it was controversial.” If “the jury is still out on the High Dam” as the guide suggests back then, the verdict is clear today in the many serious problems resulting from the project. For example, now the depleted soil affects quality and quantity of crops causing the need for more imported produce and less exports and negatively impacting the economy.  

In fact, many of Egypt’s ills can be traced back to Nasser. 

The end of this month marks the 54th anniversary of Nasser’s death on September 28, 1970. A hero for Egyptian Nassirian’s and Arab admirers in the region during his presidential era, Nasser’s transgressions tragically impact Egypt to this day far beyond the works of any other leader. I vividly recall the public announcement of his death when I was a university student in Cairo. As I listened to the radio while drafting designs, there was a sudden switch in programing to the public broadcast system. Military music and Quranic verses began to play. This was puzzling to me at the time, but now I surmise it was to prepare the hearts and minds of his followers. Nasser was worshipped and now he was dead. What would happen to the country? How could it possibly run, even exist, without him? 

Egypt and the whole Arab world were captured by this powerful, charismatic figure for 18 years who was interested in growing his personal power through public office. He was arrogant and politically narrow-minded toward ends that drove the country into destruction in many ways. Touting freedom and democracy on the morning of his coup in 1952 after snatching power from King Farouk to become the first of a long list of military presidents, Nasser used his charisma and the media to silence and mold the culture, forbidding political criticism and advice. 

He would become a “sacred image” for most Egyptians. His identity was cemented over time through media depictions of a legendary leader; songs, poetry and movies programmed his megalomania even further. It took Nasser six more years to make his first autocratic move, and, gradually, into the 1960s he implemented restrictions and authoritarian controls of the country to suppress opposition to his ideas. 

Certainly, this was not surprising as Nasser led the members of a secret cell of the Muslim Brotherhood (MB) terrorist group known as the Free Officers. Nasser reneged on his promises to the head of the MB (Morshed) for an administrative position, then arrested and imprisoned him along with others. Beneath Nasser’s veneer of charm was his ruthless and vicious behavior. 

Nasser’s regional dominance beginning with Syria, Yemen and Iraq 

In 1958, Nasser extended his reach beyond Egypt with his plan to develop the Arab Umma, the union between Egypt and Syria under the name of United Arab Republic with its new flag. This was the first step in building the cornerstone for regional dominance. Ultimately, this devastated Egypt’s resources and reputation. If successful, Syria, Yemen, Iraq, and other Arab countries would come under his umbrella of political leadership (Umma). The first signer of the Arab Unity Charter was President Shukri Al-Quwatli of Syria who agreed to Cairo as their new capital and Nasser as president. 

Nearly four years later in October 1961, Syria appealed to the UN General Assembly to resume its former status as an independent state, Syrian Arab Republic. This was no doubt due to Nasser’s aggressive policies undertaken in Syria, such as nationalization of Syrian private banks and major industrial companies and factories that were flourishing in the fields of spinning, weaving, and cement. Egyptian immigrant workers arrived in droves to Syria’s northern region and generated an imbalance of their labor force. As a condition of acceptance to the Charter, Nasser stipulated abolition of Syria’s political pluralism in favor of a one-party system. 

No doubt Syrians were as disgruntled as Egyptians would soon become when Nasser would force the same changes onto Egypt’s private industries and corporations, nationalizing them all. Egypt’s economy suffered as the existing management was replaced by inexpert military officers who ran down the companies over time, siphoning off the profits. Western governments and investors detected unstable political power running Egypt, especially when Nasser’s abuse of power reached the point of dismissing any compensation to investors whose companies were nationalized (stolen). His exercise of unjust authority against citizens further led to loss of confidence in Nasser’s regime and generated tensions. 

Nasser continually announced to the country his ambitions for the Uma. His strategy was to export revolution to the neighboring Arab countries. On the morning of September 26, 1962, just six days after the installation of Imam Al Badar to the throne of Yemen, radio Sanaa (of Yemen) announced that the Yemen army took control of power. Nasser instantly supported Yemen’s military uprising by sending in the Egyptian military to oppose civilian fighting in the Yemeni streets and mountains on behalf of the deposed king – turning Yemen into a field of conflict.  

Nasser failed to achieve political stability in Yemen, draining the resources of Egypt’s military and finances otherwise needed for domestic concerns. Egypt’s military presence in Yemen was extended to achieve stability but was unsuccessful and only served to foment tensions with Saudi Arabia, which viewed it as an unjustified interference in Yemen's internal affairs. 

Meanwhile, Nasser’s leadership to unify the Arab countries under the banner of Arab nationalism was obstructed by President Qasim of Iraq who opposed a union with Egypt. Nasser incited Iraqi military to carry out a coup against Qasim in 1959 that failed. Three years later Nasser succeeded, and Qasim was executed by coup members. Tensions rose between Egypt and Iraq for a period. Moreover, this aggression ruined the concept of Arab nationalism and contributed to the disintegration of Arab unity. In fact, popular support from Arab countries for Nasser declined. 

Nasser finally withdrew his beleaguered troops from Yemen in August 1967 after 12 years of useless fighting and saved face with the excuse of reassigning all fifteen thousand soldiers to support Egypt’s retreating soldiers on the west side of the Suez Canal. 

Nasser repressed the reactions of concerned Egyptians  

He imposed the state of emergency that still exists today giving powers to the government to suppress any form of opposition or dissent. He dissolved all political parties that were unsupportive of his policies. He established one single political party called the Socialist Union Party whose members spread corruption throughout the country. 

To secure his position, he arrested, tortured and imprisoned fellow Muslim Brotherhood members. As a child in Cairo, I heard the pleas for freedom from behind the metal bars of a police van over its whirling siren as the Brotherhood members were rounded up. His crackdown included strict media controls over independent newspapers, magazines and radio – tightly monitoring and closing many. State media dominated the information broadcasted while the courts were used as a tool to suppress political opponents, bringing charges against them and issuing harsh sentences. 

To manage political repression and monitor social and political activities, Nasser created the State Security Services. This institutionalized arrest and torture, producing a climate of fear and terror among the citizens. The agency exercised strict control over society, monitoring all aspects of daily life, art, culture, education and social activities, which took away all freedom to express opinions. 

Another of Nasser’s mistaken decisions was revealed to the country in his May 1967 speech announcing that Egypt would prevent Israel’s navigation in the Red Sea. After many years of calm and no brewing tensions, Nasser instigated this conflict. His miscalculation about Egypt’s military capacity to confront the Israeli army was perhaps due to the inaccurate reports from his generals. Nonetheless, Nasser’s media statements were strong and certain of achieving victory, generating enthusiasm from Egyptians and placing pressure upon an unqualified military. 

Nasser was later said to be in the dark concerning his army’s lack of adequate preparation for war. Nasser admitted this at the time and exploited the fact to gain sympathy. Egypt’s military was inept at coordinating the militaries of neighboring Arab countries. Nasser’s earlier foreign interference lost him the respect of other leaders, which no doubt contributed to his failure to form allies in what would become the Five Days War. After provoking Israel to initiate the war, Nasser closed the Strait of Tiran. Egypt’s army was annihilated and lost the Sinai Peninsula to Israel. 

The current degradation of Egyptian society began 70 years ago with Nasser’s socialist reforms and transgressions. Although the dream of the United Arab Republic expired with him, the remains of Nasser’s domestic initiatives formed the devastating trajectory the country would take well into the future. 

Dr. Ashraf Ramelah is the founder and president of Voice of the Copts, a human rights nonprofit organization 501 (c) (3). The organization has offices in Italy and the United States.

Dr. Ramelah is dedicated to the Coptic cause and believes that his life’s mission is to speak up for the oppressed Copts who cannot speak up for themselves.

Dr. Ramelah is well known to the Egyptian government due to his advocacy for the Egyptian Copts as well as for Voice of the Copts’ lawsuit against them on behalf of Muslim convert to Christianity Mr. Hegazy and his family in 2009-2010. Ashraf Ramelah also appears as an entry in the Coptic History Encyclopedia (http://www.coptichistory.org/new_page_5260.htm).

Dr. Ramelah, himself a Copt, was born in Cairo, Egypt. At the age of 17, he travelled to Italy to study architecture. He graduated with a doctorate in architecture from La Sapienza – Universita’ Degli Studi di Roma,Italy. His special study is restoration of old monuments and history of architecture.

His career as an architect took him to work and live in Italy, Saudi Arabia, Gabon and the USA. His personal interests are Egyptology and Coptic history in the period after the Arab invasion of Egypt in 651 AD.

Voice of the Copts is dedicated to bringing fair, correct and balanced information to the entire world regarding Copts and Christians in countries with an Arab-Muslim majority.


 

La Casa Futura: Achieving independence for Egyptian youths in the freedom of the West

Rome, Italy. -– a Voice of the Copts’ project

La Casa Futura assists refugee youths fleeing from Egypt due to religious persecution. La Casa Futura is a two-year assimilation program in a residence building for young men and women (ages 15-20 years old) coming from Italian refugee camps. Language classes, vocational training and assistance for legal status in Italy are provided.

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